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Kosecki PA, Brooke PJ, Raines ME. Lack of fermentation in antemortem blood samples stored unstoppered in various locations. J Forensic Sci. 2023

By ToxGIrl

The Study That Proved Nothing: A Close Read of the “No Fermentation” Paper
The Forensic Margin  Toxicology / Evidence

Critical Read · Blood-Alcohol Science

The Study That Proved Nothing

A 2023 paper is increasingly cited to shut down “fermentation” defenses in DUI cases. Read closely, it answers a question no one was asking — and the literature it cites cuts the other way.

When a blood-alcohol result is challenged in court, the prosecution increasingly reaches for a tidy 2023 technical note — Kosecki, Brooke & Raines, “Lack of fermentation in antemortem blood samples stored unstoppered in various locations.” The pitch is simple: researchers left blood tubes open in restrooms, locker rooms, and a jail intake area, stored them, and found no alcohol. Case closed on fermentation.

Except it isn’t. The experiment is real and competently run, but it establishes something far narrower than the way it gets cited. And on the two questions that actually decide a fermentation challenge — does sodium fluoride stop Candida, and can the organism reach blood — the paper’s own cited sources point the other way. Here is the close read, with the data.

3
Healthy donors
(the entire human sample)
30
Tubes — repeats,
not 30 conditions
0
Tubes inoculated
with Candida
0
Biological positive
controls

01 / THE CLAIM vs. THE DATAWhat the experiment actually showed

Strip away the framing and one fact remains: ethanol-negative blood, drawn from three sober volunteers, left open in various rooms and then stored, did not become ethanol-positive. That’s it. From there the authors leap to a sweeping conclusion — that there is “no plausible mechanism” for routine samples to ferment and that such challenges “lack merit.”

A negative result from a system never shown capable of a positive result is uninterpretable. It proves only that blood not contaminated with a fermenting organism did not ferment — which was never in dispute.

The gap between what was tested and what was claimed is the whole story. The table below is the heart of it.

Table 1 — What fermentation requires vs. what the study supplied
Condition that drives fermentationPresent in the study?Why it matters
The organism (C. albicans) actually introducedNo — never inoculatedCan’t detect fermentation if the fermenter was never added
Post-storage culture to confirm contaminationNo — never culturedResult is ambiguous: did organisms not enter, or enter and not ferment?
A biological positive controlNoSystem never shown capable of producing ethanol at all
Glucose substrate (measured)Not reportedHealthy sober donors = lowest-substrate blood available
Biologically variable subjectsNo — 3 healthy adultsNo diabetics, trauma, infection, or real arrestees
Analytical method validated by controlsYesThe one thing done well — but it’s not the issue
THE EVIDENCE THAT CUTS THE OTHER WAY

02 / SODIUM FLUORIDEThe preservative doesn’t stop Candida

The paper leans on sodium fluoride as the safeguard that makes fermentation implausible. But the classic study it cites — Blume & Lakatua (1973) — tested exactly that, and found fluoride suppressed every contaminating organism it tried except the one that matters.

First, how much ethanol these organisms make in blank blood over a single day. Candida albicans is not a minor player:

Figure 1 · Blume & Lakatua (1973), Table 1
Ethanol produced in bank blood, by organism, over 22 hours
Values in mg/dl. Candida albicans reached 107 mg/dl at 22 h — roughly double the next-highest organism — while others lagged. Fermentation by Candida is fast and substantial once it is present.

Now the decisive experiment. After 24 hours, with and without 50 mg of sodium fluoride per tube:

Figure 2 · Blume & Lakatua (1973), Table 2
Sodium fluoride knocks out the bacteria — but not Candida
mg/dl ethanol after 24 h. Fluoride drove Proteus and streptococci to not measurable. Against Candida albicans it did essentially nothing: 70 mg/dl without fluoride, 72 with it.

Chang & Kollman (1989) — another Kosecki citation, and one focused specifically on Candida in blood — reached the same place: once fermentation began in inoculated blood at room temperature, it “was not affected by the presence of sodium fluoride,” climbing toward a plateau near 0.08% w/v. Even an industrial study in the record (Arshad 2011) found sodium fluoride “not much effective against the continuous contamination load.” The authors themselves concede the fluoride literature is “inconsistent.”

Table 2 — Sodium fluoride effect after 24 h (Blume & Lakatua, mg/dl)
OrganismNo fluoride+ 50 mg NaFVerdict
Candida albicans7072Not inhibited
Proteus vulgaris5n/mSuppressed
α-streptococci3n/mSuppressed
None (control)n/mn/m

03 / GLUCOSEThey removed the fuel, then reported no fire

Fermentation needs sugar. Yajima et al. (2006) showed the relationship directly: Candida produced ethanol from glucose in human blood, and the more glucose available, the more ethanol formed. With no added glucose, undiluted blood produced none at all.

Figure 3 · Yajima et al. (2006)
More glucose, more ethanol — a clear dose-response
Maximum measured ethanol (bars) rises with added glucose; dashed line shows the theoretical complete-fermentation yield (51 mg ethanol / 100 mg glucose). At zero added glucose, ethanol was not detected.

The contradiction is fatal. Kosecki criticizes the earlier positive studies precisely because they used added glucose — then draws blood from three healthy, sober adults (the lowest-glucose substrate available), never measures their glucose, and treats the predictable null as proof the mechanism is implausible. Diabetic, hyperglycemic, and glucose-infused arrestees — the very people most at fermentation risk — are entirely outside the study.

04 / TEMPERATURERefrigeration did the work — not the preservative

Chang & Kollman’s headline finding was that fermentation is steeply temperature-dependent. Cold storage, not fluoride, was the effective control. That reframes the issue entirely: the protective factor a defense actually probes is the sample’s temperature history, which real cases often can’t account for.

Figure 4 · Chang & Kollman (1989) — representative
Ethanol in Candida-inoculated blood, by storage temperature
Representative of reported ranges (% w/v). Room and body temperature produced substantial ethanol; refrigeration largely suppressed it (only traces after ~6 months). Delayed or interrupted refrigeration is a documented real-world risk — and was not modeled by Kosecki.

05 / PLAUSIBILITYCandida is not a harmless speck

A pillar of the paper is that C. albicans is unlikely to reach a living person’s blood. Yet a blood–brain barrier study in the same record shows the organism adhering to, invading, surviving inside, budding within, and transcytosing human endothelial cells. It is a recognized invasive pathogen, not an inert contaminant. Combined with the existence of candidemia, indwelling lines, immunocompromise, and trauma, that defeats any categorical “it can’t get into blood” claim. The defense theory needs only possible in this case — not common.

Meanwhile the paper’s own headline probability — the oft-quoted 1-in-250,000 chance of airborne contamination — isn’t a measurement at all. It’s extrapolated from ambient mold surveys of unrelated buildings; the authors never sampled the air of the rooms they used, nor cultured the blood afterward.

THE LEDGER
Table 3 — Counter-literature ledger: each Kosecki claim vs. the source that contradicts it
Kosecki claim / implicationWhat the cited literature actually showsSource
Candida is unlikely to form ethanol in forensic bloodInoculated C. albicans produced substantial ethanol in blood; production rose over time and with available glucoseBlume & Lakatua 1973; Chang & Kollman 1989; Yajima 2006
Sodium fluoride forecloses fermentation~70 vs ~72 mg/dl with/without fluoride — no inhibition of Candida; once started at room temp, fluoride didn’t stop itBlume & Lakatua 1973; Chang & Kollman 1989
Fluoride is a reliable contamination safeguardAt industrial scale, fluoride was “not much effective against the continuous contamination load”Arshad et al. 2011
Healthy donor blood is a fair proxyEthanol formation is glucose-dependent; no added glucose → no ethanol; clean low-glucose blood is least fermentation-proneYajima 2006
Absent n-propanol helps exclude fermentationNo reliable quantitative link between ethanol and n-propanol; high ethanol occurred with little or noneYajima 2006
No plausible route for Candida into bloodAn invasive pathogen that adheres to, invades, and transcytoses human endothelial (BBB) cellsJong et al. 2001
The negative result generalizes against fermentation challengesNo inoculation, no culture, no positive control, glucose unmeasured, 3 donors — cannot detect or exclude the mechanismKosecki et al. 2023 (own methods)

06 / BOTTOM LINEWhat the paper can and cannot carry

Table 4 — The honest scope of the finding
The study does supportThe study does not support
Clean, sober, low-glucose blood left open in selected rooms did not form detectable ethanol under the tested conditionsThat Candida cannot produce ethanol in blood
A rebuttal to the cartoon claim that “ambient air alone routinely makes alcohol in tubes”That sodium fluoride always prevents fermentation
That the lab’s analytical method worksThat fermentation can’t occur with elevated glucose, contamination, or bad storage
That a defendant’s measured BAC equals the BAC while driving

So cite it for what it is: a narrow, negative ambient-exposure study using clean blood from three healthy volunteers, with no confirmed contamination, no positive control, and no culture data. It is useful only against an exaggerated version of the defense. It does not rebut a fact-specific challenge built on collection defects, storage failures, underfilled tubes, poor preservative mixing, contamination, glucose-rich substrate, or chain-of-custody gaps.

The literature gives the counter on every point that matters: Candida makes ethanol in blood; glucose drives it; fluoride is condition-dependent; n-propanol is no reliable exclusion; and Candida is genuinely invasive.

Sources

  1. Kosecki PA, Brooke PJ, Raines ME. Lack of fermentation in antemortem blood samples stored unstoppered in various locations. J Forensic Sci 2023;68:308–314.
  2. Blume P, Lakatua DJ. The effect of microbial contamination of the blood sample on the determination of ethanol levels in serum. Am J Clin Pathol 1973;60:700–702.
  3. Chang J, Kollman SE. The effect of temperature on the formation of ethanol by Candida albicans in blood. J Forensic Sci 1989;34:105–109.
  4. Yajima D, Motani H, Kamei K, et al. Ethanol production by Candida albicans in postmortem human blood samples: effects of blood glucose level and dilution. Forensic Sci Int 2006;164:116–121.
  5. Arshad M, Zia MA, Asghar M, Bhatti HN. Improving bio-ethanol yield: using virginiamycin and sodium fluoride at a Pakistani distillery. Afr J Biotechnol 2011;10(53):11071–11074.
  6. Jong AY, et al. Traversal of Candida albicans across human blood–brain barrier in vitro. Infect Immun 2001;69:4536–4544.
Critical commentary for forensic, scientific, and legal readers. Numeric values are taken from the cited studies; Figure 4 reconstructs documented trends and is labeled representative. Not legal advice.
© The Forensic Margin · Analysis edition.

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